Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.