Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Talleres in this match.