Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Colon had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.