Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.44%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Deportivo Cali had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Deportivo Cali win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.