Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
