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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
2 - 0
Reggina

Bonazzoli (45+2', 55')
Capezzi (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hetemaj (90+6')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Salernitana and Reggina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawReggina
38.83%27.8%33.38%
Both teams to score 48.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.3%57.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55%78.45%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12%28.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25%64.75%
Reggina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7%32.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2%68.8%
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 38.82%
    Reggina 33.37%
    Draw 27.8%
SalernitanaDrawReggina
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 38.82%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.33%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.37%

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