Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
