Sampdoria
3 - 2
Alessandria

Quagliarella (28'), Gabbiadini (47'), Thorsby (52')
Murillo (72'), Chabot (89')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Chiarello (8'), Corazza (45' pen.)
Ba (23'), Casarini (42'), Benedetti (65')
Benedetti (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Sampdoria and Alessandria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Alessandria
57.88%	22.48%	19.64%

Both teams to score 52.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96%

46.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.66%

68.34%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.38%

15.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.38%

44.62%

Alessandria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.53%

37.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75%

74.25%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 57.87%

Alessandria 19.64%

Draw 22.48%

Sampdoria	Draw	Alessandria
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-0 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 1.4% 5-0 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.87%	1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.48%	0-1 @ 5.75% 1-2 @ 5.24% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.64%