Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.