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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 8, 2021 at 5pm UK
San Siro
SL

Inter Milan
5 - 1
Sampdoria

Gagliardini (4'), Sanchez (26', 36'), Pinamonti (61'), Martinez (70' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-1)
Balde (35')
Tonelli (31'), Silva (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
66.25%19.34%14.42%
Both teams to score 52.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.76%41.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37%63.64%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41%11.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.43%36.57%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.09%40.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52%77.48%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 66.24%
    Sampdoria 14.42%
    Draw 19.34%
Inter MilanDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 11.01%
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 7.07%
4-0 @ 4.26%
4-1 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 3.16%
5-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.7%
5-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 66.24%
1-1 @ 9.13%
0-0 @ 4.74%
2-2 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.34%
0-1 @ 4.24%
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 14.42%

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