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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
SC

Sampdoria
2 - 2
Spezia

Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawSpezia
42.15%25.22%32.63%
Both teams to score 56.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61%47.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4%69.6%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59%22.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07%55.92%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82%63.18%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 42.15%
    Spezia 32.63%
    Draw 25.21%
SampdoriaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 4.44%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.15%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.19%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 32.63%

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