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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 11, 2021 at 1pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
ZN

Namibia
2 - 0
Zimbabwe

Amini (70' og.), Kambindu (86')
Fredericks (10'), Kamberipa (52'), Hambira (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nyahwa (81'), M (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Namibia would win this match.

Result
NamibiaDrawZimbabwe
41.63%27.99%30.38%
Both teams to score 46.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91%59.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46%79.54%
Namibia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04%27.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4%63.6%
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84%35.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08%71.91%
Score Analysis
    Namibia 41.62%
    Zimbabwe 30.37%
    Draw 27.99%
NamibiaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 12.52%
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 7.98%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 30.37%

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