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COSAFA Cup | Group Stage
Jul 14, 2021 at 2pm UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
BN

Eswatini
1 - 1
Botswana

Ndzinisa (20')
Mkhonta (33'), Matse (59'), P. Figareido (69'), Gamedze (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kgamanyane (65')
Kgamanyane (45'), Mohutsiwa (89'), Orebonye (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 23.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
EswatiniDrawBotswana
50.71%25.82%23.47%
Both teams to score 47.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.88%55.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.63%76.37%
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.22%21.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.03%54.97%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.21%38.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.48%75.52%
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 50.71%
    Botswana 23.47%
    Draw 25.81%
EswatiniDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 12.87%
2-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 8%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 23.47%

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