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Coupe de France | Round of 32
Mar 6, 2021 at 8.10pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
PL

Brest
0 - 3
PSG

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mbappe (9', 73'), Sarabia (44')
Paredes (27'), Herrera (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 65.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 1-3 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
15.84%18.26%65.9%
Both teams to score 60.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08%32.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.37%54.63%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2%33.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54%70.46%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.66%9.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.51%31.49%
Score Analysis
    Brest 15.84%
    Paris Saint-Germain 65.9%
    Draw 18.26%
BrestDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 4.4%
1-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 1.89%
2-0 @ 1.86%
3-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 15.84%
1-1 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 5.22%
0-0 @ 3.16%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.26%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-2 @ 8.87%
1-3 @ 7.61%
0-1 @ 7.49%
0-3 @ 7.01%
1-4 @ 4.51%
0-4 @ 4.16%
2-3 @ 4.13%
2-4 @ 2.45%
1-5 @ 2.14%
0-5 @ 1.97%
2-5 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.79%
Total : 65.9%

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