Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Brest had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.