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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
L

Brest
2 - 3
Lyon

Chardonnet (53'), Cardona (74')
Belkebla (40'), Herelle (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Paqueta (9'), Aouar (29'), Depay (44' pen.)
De Sciglio (56'), Paqueta (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLyon
20.78%21.41%57.81%
Both teams to score 58.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.37%39.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.02%61.98%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37%32.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.18%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51%13.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48%40.53%
Score Analysis
    Brest 20.78%
    Lyon 57.81%
    Draw 21.41%
BrestDrawLyon
2-1 @ 5.53%
1-0 @ 4.93%
2-0 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.07%
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.78%
1-1 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 5.54%
0-0 @ 4.4%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-2 @ 8.83%
0-1 @ 8.82%
1-3 @ 6.6%
0-3 @ 5.9%
2-3 @ 3.7%
1-4 @ 3.31%
0-4 @ 2.95%
2-4 @ 1.85%
1-5 @ 1.33%
0-5 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 57.81%

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