Coupe de France | Eighth Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal Dr. Edmard Lama
FT(HT: 0-2)
Groune (20' pen.), Baradji (24')
Coverage of the Coupe de France Eighth Round clash between Etoile Matoury and Thionville Lusitanos.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thionville Lusitanos win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Etoile Matoury had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Thionville Lusitanos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Etoile Matoury win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Thionville Lusitanos would win this match.
| Result |
| Etoile Matoury | Draw | Thionville Lusitanos |
32.3% ( 0.14) | 22.94% ( 0.04) | 44.76% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( -0.08) |
| 63.16% ( -0.14) | 36.84% ( 0.13) |
| 40.98% ( -0.15) | 59.02% ( 0.15) |
| 77.24% ( 0.01) | 22.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.56% ( 0.02) | 56.44% ( -0.02) |
| Thionville Lusitanos Goals |
| 83.06% ( -0.12) | 16.94% ( 0.12) |
