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Coupe de France | Quarter-Finals
Feb 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Charles Massot
R

Le Puy
1 - 3
Rennes

Adinany (61')
Dief (49'), Diakhabi (53'), Piechocki (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Theate (9'), Bourigeaud (49' pen., 82')
Matusiwa (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Le Puy 2-1 Laval
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 25 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Le Puy F43 Auvergne 0-5 Rennes

As inspiring as Le Puy's Coupe de France journey has been, Vieira's men are yet to test their mettle against top-tier opposition, and the fourth-tier charges could therefore be in for a harsh reality check on Thursday. Even an out-of-sorts Rennes side would have little trouble putting the hosts to the sword, but with Stephan's men impressing in Ligue 1 and also hitting Sochaux for six in the last 16, things could get ugly for Le Puy on Thursday as Les Rouges et Noir surge into the semis. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Le Puy F43 Auvergne had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Le Puy F43 Auvergne win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Le Puy F43 AuvergneDrawRennes
18.07% (0.101 0.1) 22.85% (0.267 0.27) 59.08% (-0.369 -0.37)
Both teams to score 48.93% (-0.613 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.922 -0.92)49.77% (0.919 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-0.831 -0.83)71.77% (0.82900000000001 0.83)
Le Puy F43 Auvergne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.61% (-0.422 -0.42)41.39% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (-0.376 -0.38)77.9% (0.374 0.37)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.446 -0.45)16.51% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-0.811 -0.81)46.24% (0.808 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Le Puy F43 Auvergne 18.07%
    Rennes 59.07%
    Draw 22.84%
Le Puy F43 AuvergneDrawRennes
1-0 @ 6.03% (0.155 0.16)
2-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 2.66% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.07%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.252 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 22.84%
0-1 @ 12.3% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 11.08% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.66% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-4 @ 3% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.64% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.055 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.08% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 59.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Le Puy 2-1 Laval
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Puy 2-1 Dunkerque
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon-Duchere 1-2 Le Puy
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Puy 0-0 Vierzon FC (3-5 pen.)
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rumilly Vallieres 4-0 Le Puy
Wednesday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Puy 1-0 Lorient
Saturday, March 6 at 3.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 25 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-2 AC Milan
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Clermont
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Rennes
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Le Havre 0-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sochaux 1-6 Rennes
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France


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