SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Clermont |
59.87% ( 0.93) | 21.99% ( -0.42) | 18.14% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 51.73% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.9% ( 1.03) | 46.1% ( -1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( 0.97) | 68.4% ( -0.97) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( 0.65) | 14.99% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.57% ( 1.23) | 43.43% ( -1.23) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.85% ( 0.03) | 39.15% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.13% ( 0.03) | 75.86% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.48% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.14% |
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