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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Oceane
R

Le Havre
0 - 1
Rennes


Toure (36'), Ayew (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bourigeaud (60')
Seidu (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Sochaux 1-6 Rennes
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Rennes

After only suffering their first defeat in six games on Wednesday, Le Havre should still be confident of giving an in-form Rennes side a difficult game this weekend. However, seven wins on the spin means Rennes will come into the game as big favourites, and after hitting Sochaux for six in midweek, they are likely to keep that momentum going before facing Milan on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rennes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rennes.

Result
Le HavreDrawRennes
21.72% (-0.462 -0.46) 24.92% (-0.157 -0.16) 53.36% (0.619 0.62)
Both teams to score 48.39% (-0.126 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.6% (0.131 0.13)53.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.07% (0.11 0.11)74.93% (-0.111 -0.11)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (-0.388 -0.39)39.52% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (-0.363 -0.36)76.21% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.30300000000001 0.3)19.98% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (0.484 0.48)52.16% (-0.484 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 21.72%
    Rennes 53.34%
    Draw 24.91%
Le HavreDrawRennes
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-1 @ 5.48% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.4% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 21.72%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.9% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 12.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 10.23% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.5% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.21% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 53.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 3-3 Le Havre
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Chateauroux 0-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Lyon
Sunday, January 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 2-1 Caen
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Sochaux 1-6 Rennes
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Montpellier
Saturday, February 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-3 Rennes
Friday, January 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 2-0 Nice
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Guingamp 0-2 Rennes
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France


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