If their beatings of Reims and Lorient are anything to go by, a rejuvenated Sochaux are not to be underestimated, and a few alterations on the visitors' end could give rise to an exciting last-16 affair.
A rejigged Rouges et Noir backline should not head home with their clean sheet intact, but Rennes' attacking line packs a mean punch, and a place in the quarter-finals is surely the visitors' to lose.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Sochaux win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
