Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 83.89%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Rumilly Vallieres had a probability of 4.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.21%) and 0-1 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.4%), while for a Rumilly Vallieres win it was 1-0 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.