SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
| 38.9% | 26.21% | 34.89% |
| Both teams to score 53.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.96% | 73.04% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% | 25.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.28% | 60.72% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% | 28.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.25% | 63.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.24% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.89% |
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