Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
