Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 95.06%. A draw had a probability of 4% and a win for Serquigny Nassandres had a probability of 0.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.44%) and 0-2 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.83%), while for a Serquigny Nassandres win it was 1-0 (0.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.