Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.
-0.1) 
0.05) 
