Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guingamp in this match.
0.15) 
-0.18) 
