Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guingamp in this match.

Result
Guingamp	Draw	Ajaccio
57.87% ( 0.15)	24.02% ( 0.03)	18.11% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 45.63% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.76% (

-0.36)

54.24% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.36% (

-0.3)

75.63% (

0.3)

Guingamp Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43% (

-0.08)

18.56% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.18% (

-0.13)

49.82% (

0.13)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.02% (

-0.42)

43.97% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.9% (

-0.35)

80.1% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Guingamp 57.86%

Ajaccio 18.11%

Draw 24.02%

Guingamp	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 57.86%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 18.11%