SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a FK Baumit Jablonec win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Prague in this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Baumit Jablonec | Draw | Sparta Prague |
21.69% ( -1.8) | 22.31% ( -0.38) | 56% ( 2.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( -0.38) | 42.54% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( -0.38) | 64.94% ( 0.37) |
| FK Baumit Jablonec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( -1.81) | 33.42% ( 1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.94% ( -2.03) | 70.05% ( 2.02) |
| Sparta Prague Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.95% ( 0.59) | 15.04% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.46% ( 1.12) | 43.53% ( -1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Baumit Jablonec | Draw | Sparta Prague |
| 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.27% Total : 21.69% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.23)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 6.24% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 5.7% ( 0.43)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.79% Total : 56% |
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