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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Epet Arena
SR

Sparta Prague
4 - 2
Shamrock

Olatunji (29'), Ross (41'), Sorensen (48'), Tuci (71')
Sadilek (2'), Laci (18'), Danek (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Greene (32', 47')
Cleary (26'), Nugent (38')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 0-2 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, July 23 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Sparta Prague 2-1 Shamrock Rovers (Sparta win 4-1 on aggregate)

Although Bradley's side will no doubt make the match uncomfortable for Sparta Prague, it is difficult to see how they can recover from their deficit without more of the ball. Additionally, with Shamrock Rovers likely pushing forward in the latter stage of the match, it would not be a surprise to see them concede chances from counter-attacks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 47.82%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Sparta PragueDrawShamrock Rovers
47.82% (0.0019999999999953 0) 25.13% (0.0020000000000024 0) 27.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)49.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.02 -0.02)71.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.19% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)20.81% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)53.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)32.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)69.31% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Prague 47.81%
    Shamrock Rovers 27.05%
    Draw 25.12%
Sparta PragueDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.81%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Teplice 1-4 Sparta Prague
Saturday, July 27 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Shamrock 0-2 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, July 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Pardubice
Friday, July 19 at 6pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-1 Plzen
Sunday, May 26 at 3pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Mlada Boleslav 0-5 Sparta Prague
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Banik Ostrava
Tuesday, May 14 at 6.30pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Shamrock 0-2 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, July 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shamrock 2-1 Vikingur
Tuesday, July 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Vikingur 0-0 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 9 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Dundalk
Thursday, July 4 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 2-0 Shamrock
Friday, June 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Shamrock
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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