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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
0 - 1
Bodo/Glimt


Nene (69'), Moutinho (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dieguez (58' og.)
Moe (73')
Coverage of the Champions League Third Qualifying Round clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Bodo/Glimt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-0 Podbrezova
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Petrocub 1-1 APOEL
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Slovan Bratislava52.50Barseghyan
2Dunajska Streda42.00Almasi
3Banska Bystrica21.00Rymarkeno
4FK Kosice21.00Medved
5Trencin21.00Emeka
6Komarno10.50Sylvestr
7Ruzomberok11.00Boda
8Skalica10.50Ranko
9Podbrezova00.00
10Spartak Trnava00.00
11Michalovce00.00
12Zilina00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for APOEL had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an APOEL win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.

Result
Slovan BratislavaDrawAPOEL
53.08% (-4.776 -4.78) 24.5% (2.352 2.35) 22.42% (2.427 2.43)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-3.952 -3.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (-6.971 -6.97)51.05% (6.975 6.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (-6.449 -6.45)72.91% (6.451 6.45)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (-4.221 -4.22)19.18% (4.224 4.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.14% (-7.477 -7.48)50.86% (7.481 7.48)
APOEL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-1.545 -1.54)37.51% (1.547 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-1.547 -1.55)74.29% (1.55 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Slovan Bratislava 53.08%
    APOEL 22.42%
    Draw 24.5%
Slovan BratislavaDrawAPOEL
1-0 @ 11.88% (1.66 1.66)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.75 -0.75)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.995 -1)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.621 -0.62)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.692 -0.69)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.802 -0.8)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.456 -0.46)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 53.08%
1-1 @ 11.65% (1.2 1.2)
0-0 @ 7.2% (1.816 1.82)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.362 -0.36)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.06% (1.554 1.55)
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.367 0.37)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.646 0.65)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.172 0.17)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.42%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-0 Podbrezova
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 5-0 Celje
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Komarno 1-4 Slovan Bratislava
Saturday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Slovak First Football League
Last Game: Celje 1-1 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 24 at 7.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Struga 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 17 at 4pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 4-2 Struga
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Petrocub 1-1 APOEL
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: APOEL 1-0 Petrocub
Tuesday, July 23 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Larnaca 0-0 APOEL
Wednesday, July 17 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: APOEL 1-2 Gent
Thursday, August 31 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 2-0 APOEL
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: APOEL 1-0 Dila
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League


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