Aarhus come into this crucial clash knowing that a win will probably secure a place in the Conference League next season, and the attacking players for the hosts should be confident of firing their team into Europe. Brondby will be buoyed after trashing Nordsjaelland last time out, but we believe their lack of anything tangible to fight for could lead to them being slightly off the boil on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Brondby had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Brondby win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Aarhus	Draw	Brondby
41.12% ( 0.2)	27.33% ( 0.57)	31.55% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

-1.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.68% (

-2.39)

56.32% (

2.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.65% (

-1.97)

77.35% (

1.98)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.06% (

-1)

26.94% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.73% (

-1.33)

62.27% (

1.33)

Brondby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15% (

-1.75)

32.85% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58% (

-2)

69.42% (

2.01)

Score Analysis

Aarhus 41.11%

Brondby 31.55%

Draw 27.33%

Aarhus	Draw	Brondby
1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.72) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.79) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.55%