SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Brondby had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Brondby win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Brondby |
39.91% ( -0.17) | 25.48% ( 0.04) | 34.61% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.91% ( -0.16) | 48.09% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.74% ( -0.15) | 70.26% ( 0.16) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( -0.16) | 23.83% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.99% ( -0.23) | 58.01% ( 0.24) |
| Brondby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( 0.01) | 26.76% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( 0) | 62.04% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Brondby |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.91% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.61% |
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