Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for an Aarhus win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.
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