Danish Superliga | Gameweek 9
May 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
Cepheus Park Randers
We said: Randers 1-2 Aarhus
Randers have lost each of their last four league matches, and it is difficult to back them against an Aarhus outfit that have a lot to play for at this stage of the campaign. We are expecting Tuesday's affair to be close but believe that the visitors will be able to secure a vital three points courtesy of a 2-1 success.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Randers had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Randers win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result |
| Randers | Draw | Aarhus |
29.35% ( -0.36) | 25.07% ( 0.06) | 45.58% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.06% ( -0.42) |
| 51.91% ( -0.46) | 48.09% ( 0.46) |
| 29.75% ( -0.42) | 70.25% ( 0.42) |
| 69.81% ( -0.48) | 30.19% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.66% ( -0.58) | 66.34% ( 0.58) |
| 78.87% ( -0.06) | 21.13% ( 0.06) |
