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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 6
May 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
1 - 3
Nordsjaelland

Knudsen (90+3')
Emil Madsen (17'), Brandhof (27'), Peacock-Farrell (45+2'), Sertdemir (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Osman (10'), Schjelderup (28'), Harder (84')
Frese (54'), Sertdemir (86')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Nordsjaelland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Copenhagen 3-2 Aarhus
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 1-1 Brondby
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 23.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Aarhus win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.

Result
AarhusDrawNordsjaelland
23.01% (-0.291 -0.29) 24.95% (0.099 0.1) 52.04% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.615 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (-0.648 -0.65)52.25% (0.649 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-0.562 -0.56)73.96% (0.56400000000001 0.56)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.38% (-0.631 -0.63)37.62% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6% (-0.623 -0.62)74.4% (0.624 0.62)
Nordsjaelland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (-0.175 -0.17)20.07% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)52.3% (0.285 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 23.01%
    Nordsjaelland 52.03%
    Draw 24.95%
AarhusDrawNordsjaelland
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.8% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 23.01%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.193 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 12.12% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 9.74% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 5.1% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.09% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Copenhagen 3-2 Aarhus
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 7-2 Aarhus
Monday, April 22 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 2-2 Brondby
Sunday, April 14 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 0-1 Midtjylland
Sunday, April 7 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Silkeborg 2-2 Aarhus
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 1-0 Hvidovre
Sunday, March 17 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 1-1 Brondby
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 7-2 Aarhus
Monday, April 22 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Silkeborg 0-1 Nordsjaelland
Monday, April 15 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 2-1 Copenhagen
Sunday, April 7 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-3 Nordsjaelland
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 1-1 Randers
Sunday, March 17 at 4pm in Danish Superliga


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