Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 61.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Aarhus win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.
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