SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Odense had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Odense win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Odense |
48.82% ( 2.71) | 23.76% ( -0.61) | 27.41% ( -2.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( 1.43) | 43.54% ( -1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.07% ( 1.39) | 65.93% ( -1.39) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( 1.66) | 17.96% ( -1.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.19% ( 2.77) | 48.8% ( -2.78) |
| Odense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( -0.76) | 29.25% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.94) | 65.21% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Odense |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.82% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.34)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.56)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.35% Total : 27.41% |
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