SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for AC Horsens had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest AC Horsens win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | AC Horsens |
41.26% ( -1.32) | 26.45% ( 0.07) | 32.29% ( 1.25) |
| Both teams to score 52% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( 0.1) | 52.68% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( 0.09) | 74.32% ( -0.09) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -0.63) | 25.19% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( -0.88) | 59.92% ( 0.87) |
| AC Horsens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( 0.91) | 30.48% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.3% ( 1.07) | 66.7% ( -1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | AC Horsens |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.47% Total : 41.25% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.29% |
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