Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Randers win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Randers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Randers | Draw | Aarhus |
42.18% ( -0.16) | 25.3% ( 0.16) | 32.52% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.83% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.22% ( -0.72) | 47.78% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.04% ( -0.67) | 69.96% ( 0.67) |
Randers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.44% ( -0.39) | 22.56% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% ( -0.58) | 56.16% ( 0.58) |
Aarhus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% ( -0.36) | 27.9% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( -0.46) | 63.52% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Randers | Draw | Aarhus |
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.18% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.52% |
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