SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Copenhagen |
29.48% ( -1.85) | 24.94% ( -0.13) | 45.58% ( 1.99) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( -0.27) | 47.47% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% ( -0.25) | 69.68% ( 0.25) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( -1.4) | 29.78% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( -1.72) | 65.86% ( 1.73) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( 0.78) | 20.87% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( 1.21) | 53.58% ( -1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Copenhagen |
| 1-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.26% Total : 29.48% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.58% |
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