SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Vejle had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Vejle win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aarhus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Vejle |
37.84% ( 0.23) | 26.73% ( 0.04) | 35.42% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 51.73% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.68% ( -0.17) | 53.31% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% ( -0.14) | 74.86% ( 0.14) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( 0.05) | 27.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.19% ( 0.07) | 62.81% ( -0.07) |
| Vejle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0.24) | 28.79% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( -0.3) | 64.63% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Vejle |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.42% |
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