SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Vejle had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Vejle win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Vejle |
56.61% ( 0.11) | 23.83% ( 0.09) | 19.55% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.33% ( -0.59) | 51.66% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.55% ( -0.51) | 73.44% ( 0.52) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( -0.18) | 18.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( -0.3) | 48.99% ( 0.3) |
| Vejle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% ( -0.56) | 40.81% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.62% ( -0.51) | 77.38% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Vejle |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 56.61% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 19.55% |
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