Copenhagen's away form this season has been excellent, while Aarhus have struggled for consistency at home. We are expecting Tuesday's contest to be close in terms of the scoreline, but Copenhagen have enough quality to navigate their way to a hugely-important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Aarhus win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.3) 
0.31) 
