Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 54.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Aarhus win it was 1-0 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aarhus | Draw | Copenhagen |
22.34% ( -0.3) | 23.26% ( -0) | 54.4% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% ( -0.32) | 45.98% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( -0.31) | 68.28% ( 0.31) |
Aarhus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% ( -0.46) | 34.75% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% ( -0.49) | 71.48% ( 0.5) |
Copenhagen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.2% ( -0) | 16.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.23% ( -0.01) | 46.77% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Aarhus | Draw | Copenhagen |
1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.34% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.07% Total : 54.4% |
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