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FC
Danish Superliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2022 at 5pm UK
Parken

Copenhagen
1 - 0
Aarhus

Lerager (82')
Diks (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kristensen (20'), Aurel Bisseck (41'), Tingager (60'), Gronning (90+5')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Copenhagen and Aarhus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 2-1 Copenhagen
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 3-1 AaB
Saturday, September 17 at 4pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for an Aarhus win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Copenhagen in this match.

Result
CopenhagenDrawAarhus
51.89% (-0.435 -0.44) 24.09% (0.128 0.13) 24.02% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 53.66% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2% (-0.249 -0.25)47.79% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.228 -0.23)69.98% (0.227 0.23)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (-0.26100000000001 -0.26)18.4% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (-0.443 -0.44)49.55% (0.441 0.44)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.13500000000001 0.14)34.23% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (0.144 0.14)70.93% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Copenhagen 51.88%
    Aarhus 24.02%
    Draw 24.09%
CopenhagenDrawAarhus
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.09% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 51.88%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-1 Copenhagen
Sunday, September 18 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 0-0 Sevilla
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Odense 2-1 Copenhagen
Saturday, September 10 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Copenhagen
Tuesday, September 6 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-0 Silkeborg
Friday, September 2 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 3-1 Copenhagen
Sunday, August 28 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 3-1 AaB
Saturday, September 17 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Silkeborg 1-0 Aarhus
Sunday, September 11 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 2-3 Nordsjaelland
Monday, September 5 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Horsens 2-1 Aarhus
Friday, August 26 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 0-2 Aarhus
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 1-0 Lyngby Boldklub
Monday, August 15 at 6pm in Danish Superliga


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