SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Lyngby Boldklub had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Lyngby Boldklub win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyngby Boldklub | Draw | Aarhus |
24.97% ( 0.07) | 24.96% ( 0.14) | 50.07% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.43% ( -0.53) | 50.56% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( -0.47) | 72.48% ( 0.47) |
| Lyngby Boldklub Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.07% ( -0.23) | 34.92% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.33% ( -0.24) | 71.66% ( 0.24) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( -0.3) | 20.2% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% ( -0.48) | 52.52% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyngby Boldklub | Draw | Aarhus |
| 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.97% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 50.06% |
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