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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 11
Oct 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ceres Park
FC

Aarhus
1 - 1
Copenhagen

Serra (73')
Knoester (32'), Kahl (75'), Mortensen (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Falk (90+3')
Diks (83')
Diks (90+5')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Copenhagen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Viborg 2-1 Aarhus
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
AarhusDrawCopenhagen
30.14% (-0.936 -0.94) 24.27% (-0.168 -0.17) 45.59% (1.107 1.11)
Both teams to score 58.24% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.86% (0.311 0.31)44.14% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.48% (0.302 0.3)66.52% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.459 -0.46)27.65% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (-0.596 -0.6)63.2% (0.599 0.6)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (0.601 0.6)19.51% (-0.598 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (0.972 0.97)51.4% (-0.96899999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 30.14%
    Copenhagen 45.59%
    Draw 24.26%
AarhusDrawCopenhagen
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.94% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.14%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.101 0.1)
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.171 0.17)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 3.92% (0.164 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.097 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.095 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.59%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Viborg 2-1 Aarhus
Sunday, October 1 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Randers 1-1 Aarhus
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 0-3 Brondby
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Aarhus
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Aarhus 1-0 Lyngby Boldklub
Sunday, August 27 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Odense 1-1 Aarhus
Sunday, August 20 at 7pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Copenhagen 0-2 Midtjylland
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 2-3 Copenhagen
Sunday, September 24 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-2 Copenhagen
Wednesday, September 20 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 2-2 Copenhagen
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Viborg
Sunday, September 3 at 5pm in Danish Superliga


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