SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | Aalborg BK |
51.93% ( 0.3) | 23.27% ( -0.12) | 24.81% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( 0.37) | 43.46% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( 0.36) | 65.86% ( -0.35) |
| Nordsjaelland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( 0.25) | 16.77% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.28% ( 0.43) | 46.72% ( -0.42) |
| Aalborg BK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( 0.06) | 31.22% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( 0.06) | 67.56% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nordsjaelland | Draw | Aalborg BK |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.93% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 24.81% |
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