SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Randers win with a probability of 50%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Randers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Randers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Randers | Draw | Aalborg BK |
50% ( -0.14) | 23.51% ( 0.01) | 26.49% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( 0.05) | 43.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( 0.05) | 65.47% ( -0.05) |
| Randers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.03) | 17.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.28% ( -0.06) | 47.72% ( 0.06) |
| Aalborg BK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( 0.12) | 29.69% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.26% ( 0.15) | 65.74% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Randers | Draw | Aalborg BK |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.89% Total : 50% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.49% |
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