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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
MCH Arena

Midtjylland
2 - 0
AaB

Buksa (44'), Brynhildsen (77')
Askildsen (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Widell (89'), Diakhite (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AaB 2-1 Silkeborg
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

We said: FC Midtjylland 2-0 Aalborg BK

While Midtjylland will have one eye on their midweek Champions League qualifier, they will know the importance of getting a result here to remain within striking distance of the league leaders. Aab will not make it easy, but we feel the hosts will do enough to get their first league win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for an Aalborg BK win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Midtjylland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Midtjylland.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawAalborg BK
62.66% (-0.227 -0.23) 19.64% (0.14 0.14) 17.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.99% (-0.338 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.89% (-0.52 -0.52)36.11% (0.523 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.78% (-0.574 -0.57)58.22% (0.576 0.58)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.95% (-0.212 -0.21)11.04% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.63% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)35.37% (0.473 0.47)
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.22 -0.22)33.69% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.241 -0.24)70.34% (0.245 0.25)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 62.67%
    Aalborg BK 17.69%
    Draw 19.64%
FC MidtjyllandDrawAalborg BK
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.077 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 62.67%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.096 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.64%
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 17.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-0 UE Santa Coloma
Wednesday, July 31 at 6.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 2-2 Midtjylland
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: UE Santa Coloma 0-3 Midtjylland
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aarhus 1-1 Midtjylland
Friday, July 19 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 3-3 Silkeborg
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 3-3 Midtjylland
Monday, May 20 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 2-1 Silkeborg
Sunday, July 28 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 3-0 AaB
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 0-1 Silkeborg
Saturday, June 3 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 2-1 AaB
Monday, May 29 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: AaB 0-2 Midtjylland
Sunday, May 21 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Odense 1-1 AaB
Friday, May 12 at 6pm in Danish Superliga


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