SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for an Aalborg BK win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Midtjylland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for FC Midtjylland.
| Result | ||
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Aalborg BK |
62.66% ( -0.23) | 19.64% ( 0.14) | 17.69% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.89% ( -0.52) | 36.11% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.78% ( -0.57) | 58.22% ( 0.58) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.95% ( -0.21) | 11.04% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.63% ( -0.47) | 35.37% ( 0.47) |
| Aalborg BK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.31% ( -0.22) | 33.69% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.66% ( -0.24) | 70.34% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Aalborg BK |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.73% Total : 62.67% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.64% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 17.69% |
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