SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for SonderjyskE had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest SonderjyskE win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SonderjyskE | Draw | Aarhus |
33.57% ( 0.22) | 24.23% ( -0.08) | 42.19% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.39% ( 0.42) | 42.61% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.98% ( 0.41) | 65.02% ( -0.42) |
| SonderjyskE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( 0.33) | 24.77% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( 0.46) | 59.33% ( -0.46) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0.11) | 20.36% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% ( 0.17) | 52.77% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| SonderjyskE | Draw | Aarhus |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 42.19% |
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