SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Aarhus |
52.24% ( -0.01) | 22.7% ( -0) | 25.06% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.38% ( 0.03) | 40.62% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37% ( 0.03) | 63% ( -0.03) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( 0.01) | 15.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( 0.01) | 44.64% ( -0.01) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( 0.03) | 29.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( 0.03) | 65.5% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Aarhus |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 25.06% |
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