SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Copenhagen |
28.51% ( -0.47) | 23.56% ( 0.03) | 47.94% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 59.63% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.18% ( -0.41) | 41.82% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.78% ( -0.42) | 64.22% ( 0.42) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -0.53) | 27.58% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -0.69) | 63.11% ( 0.69) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( 0.01) | 17.65% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.74% ( 0.02) | 48.26% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Copenhagen |
| 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.88% Total : 28.51% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.81% Total : 47.94% |
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